Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on June 25, 2025 at 06:15 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (June 1, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (June 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (June 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (June 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (June 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels on June 24. A weak disturbance began after 06h UT and peaked after noon. As the phi angle moved into a negative sector at the time, the most likely source of the disturbance were weak effects associated with CH1303. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 378 and 485 km/sec, averaging 431 km/sec (-2 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to active levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels all day.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 119.9 - decreasing 24.4 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 186.43 (183 days ago). The 81 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 145.5 (41 days ago, this is 48.3% of the solar flux range from the max 81 day average peak on September 4, 2024 at 227.3 and an average 81 day flux of 69 at solar minimum). SC25 365d peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024. The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 7 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 6.9). Three hour interval K indices: 12222321 (planetary), 12332322 (Boulder), 12214232 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B4 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 10 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 197) and in 8 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 131) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14117 [S15W16] decayed slowly and produced a few low level C flares. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 00:28, C1.3 @ 04:55, C1.1 @ 15:06 UT
AR 14118 [S12W03] decayed further and was the source of a few low level C flares. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 05:28, C1.5 @ 17:27, C1.8 @ 17:58, C1.1 @ 20:51 UT
AR 14119 [S25W14] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14120 [N06W09] developed quickly after noon as new flux emerged.
AR 14121 [S12E13] developed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S11182 [S12W20] decayed slowly and quietly.
S11186 [S21W09] decayed slowly and quietly.
S11187 [N14E39] was quiet and stable.
S11188 [N14E72] gained spots and was mostly quiet. Two of the opposite polarity spots are very close to each other. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 12:27, C1.1 @ 13:57, C1.3 @ 14:47 UT
New region S11190 [N04E21] was observed with tiny spots in an old plage area.

AR 14114 behind the northwest limb produced a C1.0 flare at 03:43 UT.

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C3.1 15:45   14117 GOES18  

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

June 22-24: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A small recurrent negative polarity trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1303) was Earth facing on June 20 and early on June 21. A large recurrent negative polarity trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1302) will rotate across the central meridian on June 22-25.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on June 25-28 due to effects from CH1302.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14115 2025.06.11
2025.06.12
1     N21W95 0030 HSX       was AR S11151

spotless for 2 consecutive days

location: N22W84

S11162 2025.06.14       N26W52            
S11166 2025.06.16       S12W57            
14117 2025.06.17
2025.06.18
6 14 8 S14W17 0150 DSO DAO

was AR S11167

location: S15W16

area: 0240

S11169 2025.06.17       S09W56            
14118 2025.06.17
2025.06.19
10 26 16 S12W07 0080 CAI DAI

beta-gamma

was AR S11170

location: S12W03

area: 0170

leader spots split off into AR S11182 on 2025.06.22

S11173 2025.06.18       N14W42          
S11175 2025.06.19       N08W53            
S11177 2025.06.19       N13W30            
14119 2025.06.21
2025.06.23
2 3 1 S25W16 0005 AXX CRO was AR S11179

location: S25W14

area: 0020

S11181 2025.06.21       S13W31            
S11182 2025.06.22   3 3 S12W20 0090   CSO split off from AR 14118
14120 2025.06.22
2025.06.23
5 17 11 N06W10 0010 BXO DRI was AR S11183

location: N06W09

area: 0100

14121 2025.06.22
2025.06.23
3 15 6 S12E11 0030 DRO DRO was AR S11184

area: 0080

location: S12E13

S11186 2025.06.23   3   S21W09 0005   AXX  
S11187 2025.06.23   5 2 N14E39 0015   BXO  
S11188 2025.06.23   9 4 N14E72 0025   BXI beta-gamma
S11190 2025.06.24   2   N04E21 0004   BXO    
Total spot count: 27 97 51  
Sunspot number: 87 197 131  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 45 118 72  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 96 108 105  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 160.8 (+1.4) (SC25 solar max) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 157.0 (-3.8) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (150.7 projected, -6.3) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (144.2 projected, -6.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.6 (135.6 projected, -8.6) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (129.2 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 162.5 163.6 140.6 (124.6 projected, -4.6) 17.62
2025.05  135.3 138.3 79.2 (119.3 projected, -5.3) 17.26
2025.06 133.7 (1)   83.4 (2A) / 104.3(2B) / 124.9 (2C)
ISN average to date: 110.6.
At this level the SSN for
December 2024 will become 150.9
(114.4 projected, -4.9) (22.8)
2025.07       (110.2 projected, -4.2)  
2025.08       (105.5 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (101.2 projected, -4.3)  
2025.10       (97.3 projected, -3.9)  
2025.11       (95.0 projected, -2.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of June 23, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). Compared to the peak of SC25 solar flux has been at a low level in both May and June 2025. Taking a closer look at the 81 day (3 solar rotations) average solar flux proxy, its peak was in early September 2024 and had on May 12 decreased to less than half of the solar cycle flux range. Subtracting the 81 day average of approximately 69 at solar cycle minimum from all measurements, the SC25 range is 0 - 158.3.

All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024
, very likely making this the peak of SC25 (STAR 1K 365d peak: 236.1, STAR 2K 365d peak: 364.3, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6). The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.