The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels on December 1 as effects associated with CH1332 came to an end. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 423 and 614 km/sec, averaging 522 km/sec (-104 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes was at quiet to major storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels all day.
Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 196.7 - increasing 45.1 over the previous solar rotation.
The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 157.23 (183 days ago). The 81 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 143.4 (41 days ago, this is 47.0% of the total SC25 solar flux range from the max 81 day average peak on September 4, 2024 at 227.3 and an average 81 day flux of 69 at solar minimum). SC25 365d peak: 195.9 on October 13, 2024.
The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 10 (STAR Ap - based on the average of three hour interval ap indices: 9.5). Three hour interval K indices: 41222321 (planetary), 41232321 (Boulder), 61213344 (Andenes).
The background x-ray flux is at the class C2 level (GOES 19).
At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 12 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 310) and in 11 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 208) SDO/HMI images.
AR 14288 [N17W71] decayed slowly and was mostly
quiet.
AR 14290 [S09W60] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14291 [S12W57] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14294 [S15E48] decayed significantly losing area and with the
major penumbra fragmenting into smaller penumbrae. There are still small
magnetic delta configurations in the trailing spot section and a chance of
major flaring.
AR 14295 [N05E54] was quiet and stable.
AR 14296 [S14E60] produced a few C flares and has major flare potential.
New AR 14297 [S12W15] emerged with new flux on November 30 and was
numbered the next day by SWPC. C flares are possible.
New AR 14298 [S17E32] was split off from AR 14294 and was mostly quiet.
New AR 14299 [N22E68] rotated into view on November 30 and received
its NOAA number the next day. The trailing spot section has a magnetic
delta configuration and could produce further X flares.
Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted
differently) by SWPC/USAF:
AR S11650 [N20E32] was quiet and stable. The
spot group has reversed polarities.
New AR S11654 [N08E78] rotated into view with small spots. This
region or another region just behind the northeast limb was the source of a
flare estimated at M3.4 just after 03:30 UT
New AR S11656 [S14W08] emerged with tiny spots.
C2+ flares
| Magnitude | Peak time (UT) | Location | Source | Recorded by | Comment |
| C2.7 | 00:10 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.1 | 01:07 | 14288 | GOES18 | ||
| X1.9/1N | 02:49 | N22E79 | 14299 | GOES18 | CME, strong type II and IV radio sweeps |
| C5.8 | 05:56 | 14296 | GOES18 | ||
| C7.9 | 06:20 | S17E79 | 14296 | GOES18 | |
| C4.8 | 07:18 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C2.9 | 08:43 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C4.0 | 09:01 | 14298 | GOES18 | simultaneous flare in AR 14288 | |
| C6.0 | 10:13 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.9 | 11:42 | 14296 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.6 | 12:04 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C4.2 | 12:49 | 14296 | GOES18 | simultaneous flare in AR 14294 | |
| C2.4 | 13:28 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C2.8 | 13:39 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.0 | 13:51 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.5 | 14:23 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C4.2 | 16:37 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.1 | 17:15 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.0 | 17:22 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C2.4 | 17:59 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.2 | 19:01 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.2 | 19:19 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C3.3 | 19:32 | 14299 | GOES18 | ||
| C4.7 | 21:54 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C2.9 | 22:55 | 14294 | GOES18 | ||
| C2.9 | 23:55 | 14296 | GOES18 |
November 29-30: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in
available coronagraph imagery.
December 1: AR 14299 was the source of an X1.9 flare peaking
at 02:49 UT. A fast and wide partial halo CME was
observed in LASCO imagery. Despite the source location at the
northeast limb, there's a chance a shock could reach Earth on
December 3 or 4.
[Coronal
hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago:
28 days ago
27 days ago
26 days ago]
A recurrent trans equatorial negative polarity coronal hole (CH1333) will be Earth facing on November 30 - December 3.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels on December 2. Quiet to minor storm levels are likely on December 3-5 due to effects associated with CH1333, possibly with some contributions from the December 1 CME on December 3-4.
| Coronal holes (1) | Coronal mass ejections (2) | M and X class flares (3) |
1) Effects from a coronal hole could
reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived
the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.
Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.
(Click on image for 2K resolution).
4K resolution.
Compare to the previous day's image. 0.5K image
When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.
Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.
| Active region | SWPC date numbered STAR detected |
Spot count | Location at midnight | Area | Classification | SDO / HMI 4K continuum image with magnetic polarity overlays |
Comment | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWPC/ USAF |
STAR | SWPC | STAR | Current | Previous | ||||||
| 2K | 1K | ||||||||||
| 14288 | 2025.11.20 2025.11.20 |
9 | 14 | 7 | N19W73 | 0060 | DAI | DAO |
 |
 |
was AR S11626 area: 0100 location: N17W71 |
| 14290 | 2025.11.20 2025.11.21 |
1 | 2 | 1 | S10W62 | 0020 | HSX | HRX |
 |
 |
was AR S11627 location: S09W60 |
| 14291 | 2025.11.21 2025.11.22 |
5 | 10 | 3 | S12W55 | 0020 | CAO | CRO |
 |
 |
was AR S11630 area: 0030 location: S12W57 |
| 14293 | 2025.11.22 2025.11.24 |
N08W54 |
was AR S11633 location: N08W47 |
||||||||
| S11639 | 2025.11.25 | N09W10 |
|
||||||||
| 14297 | 2025.11.26 2025.12.01 |
5 | 24 | 11 | S12W15 | 0020 | BXI | DRI |
 |
 |
was AR S11640 area: 0060 |
| 14294 | 2025.11.28 2025.11.28 |
40 | 71 | 37 | S15E43 | 1440 | FKC | FKC |
 |
 |
beta-gamma-delta was AR S11642 area: 1910 location: S15E48 |
| S11643 | 2025.11.28 | N16W49 | |||||||||
| S11644 | 2025.11.28 | N18E16 | |||||||||
| S11645 | 2025.11.28 | S05W56 | |||||||||
| 14296 | 2025.11.29 2025.11.30 |
12 | 23 | 15 | S14E62 | 0640 | EKI | EKC |
 |
 |
was AR S11647 area: 1240 location: S14E60 |
| 14295 | 2025.11.29 2025.11.30 |
1 | 6 | 2 | N04E51 | 0040 | HSX | CSO |
 |
 |
was AR S11648 area: 0100 location: N05E54 |
| 14299 | 2025.11.30 2025.12.01 |
9 | 14 | 10 | N22E68 | 0150 | DAI | DKC |
 |
 |
beta-delta was AR S11649 area: 0430 |
| S11650 | 2025.11.30 | 8 | 4 | N20E32 | 0020 | BXO |
 |
 |
reversed polarities | ||
| S11651 | 2025.11.30 | N10W20 |
 |
||||||||
| S11652 | 2025.11.30 | N18W24 |
 |
||||||||
| S11653 | 2025.12.01 | S62E13 |
  |
reversed polarities | |||||||
| 14298 | 2025.12.01 | 3 | 13 | 5 | S16E32 | 0110 | HSX | CAO |
 |
area: 0220 location: S17E32 |
|
| S11654 | 2025.12.01 | 3 | 3 | N08E78 | 0070 | HAX |
 |
||||
| S11656 | 2025.12.01 | 2 | S14W08 | 0004 | BXO |
 |
|||||
| Total spot count: | 85 | 190 | 98 | ||||||||
| Sunspot number: | 175 | 310 | 208 | (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions) | |||||||
| Weighted SN: | 135 | 249 | 157 | (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10) | |||||||
| Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): | 193 | 171 | 166 | ||||||||
| Month | Average solar flux | International sunspot number (WDC-SILSO) |
Smoothed sunspot number (4) | Average
ap (3) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measured | 1 AU | ||||
| 2024.05 | 187.7 | 191.9 | 172.1 | 149.1 (+4.6) | 23.56 (SC25 peak) |
| 2024.08 | 246.1 (SC25 peak) |
252.2 | 216.0 (SC25 peak) | 156.8 (+1.8) | 15.96 |
| 2024.09 | 195.7 | 197.8 | 141.1 | 159.4 (+1.6) | 15.36 |
| 2024.10 | 221.0 | 219.6 | 165.8 | 160.9 (+1.5) (SC25 solar max) | 18.99 |
| 2024.11 | 199.6 | 195.3 | 154.1 | 157.2 (-3.7) | 9.33 |
| 2024.12 | 197.3 | 191.2 | 154.6 | 151.2 (-6.0) | 8.42 |
| 2025.01 | 190.3 | 184.2 | 137.0 | 146.2 (-5.0) | 13.17 |
| 2025.02 | 184.2 | 179.7 | 155.7 | 139.8 (-6.4) | 14.42 |
| 2025.03 | 163.7 | 162.1 | 134.2 | 135.9 (-3.9) | 15.96 |
| 2025.04 | 162.5 | 163.6 | 141.4 | 133.3 (-2.6) | 17.62 |
| 2025.05 | 135.3 | 138.3 | 78.5 | 128.5 (-4.8) | 17.26 |
| 2025.06 | 131.3 | 135.4 | 114.6 | (124.4 projected, -4.1) | 21.43 |
| 2025.07 | 137.8 | 142.3 | 125.6 | (121.7 projected, -2.7) | 11.80 |
| 2025.08 | 154.9 | 158.7 | 133.5 | (118.0 projected, -3.7) | 9.97 |
| 2025.09 | 154.4 | 156.0 | 129.8 | (114.1 projected, -3.9) | 14.02 |
| 2025.10 | 139.5 | 138.6 | 114.6 | (110.1 projected, -4.0) | 15.64 |
| 2025.11 | 140.3 | 137.3 | 91.7 | (107.9 projected, -2.2) | 21.3 |
| 2025.12 | 196.7 (1) | 5.6 (2A) / 175 (2B) / 119.3(2C) | (106.3 projected, -1.6) | (9.5) | |
| 2026.01 | (102.3 projected, -4.0) | ||||
| 2026.02 | (98.2 projected, -4.1) | ||||
| 2026.03 | (93.8 projected, -4.4) | ||||
| 2026.04 | (90.1 projected, -3.7) | ||||
| 2026.05 | (88.9 projected, -1.2) | ||||
1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value
at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder
(NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap
indices. Values in red
are based on the definitive international
GFZ Potsdam WDC ap
indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory
Of Belgium, Brussels
Sunspot activity was on a decreasing trend from September
2024 until mid August 2025 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy).
Then a strong surge in activity saw solar flux peak in late August 2025 just
below the largest peaks seen in 2024. A slow decrease in activity from the
August level has been observed in September and October 2025.
All 365 day smoothed sunspot numbers reached a maximum on October 11-12, 2024.
This became the peak of SC25 (365 day smoothed peaks: STAR 1K: 236.1, STAR 2K: 364.3, NOAA SN: 156.0, ISN: 163.9),
while the 365d
smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23
peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.
SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
