Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on June 24, 2025 at 04:25 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (June 1, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (June 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (June 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (June 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (June 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels on June 23 under the decreasing influence of effects associated with CH1301. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 385 and 559 km/sec, averaging 433 km/sec (-64 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to minor storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels all day.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 121.8 - decreasing 15.3 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 186.65 (183 days ago). The 81 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 146.2 (41 days ago, this is 48.8% of the solar flux range from the max 81 day average peak on September 4, 2024 at 227.3 and an average 81 day flux of 69 at solar minimum). SC25 365d peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024. The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 6 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 6.3). Three hour interval K indices: 31122211 (planetary), 31132321 (Boulder), 51112232 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B6 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 12 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 223) and in 10 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 147) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14114 [N20W84] decayed further and produced several C flares as the two remaining opposite polarity spots are in a compact configuration. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 00:59, C1.0 @ 04:08, C1.0 @ 04:47, C1.3 @ 09:52, C1.4 @ 14:05, C1.5 @ 16:13 UT
AR 14117 [S15W03] was mostly quiet and stable.
AR 14118 [S11E09] decayed quickly with the magnetic delta configuration weakening. Several low level C flares were recorded. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 03:32, C1.5 @ 03:38, C1.1 @ 06:30, C1.0 @ 07:06, C1.1 @ 09:40, C1.7 @ 13:30, C1.2 @ 14:43 UT
New AR 14119 [S25W02] emerged on June 21 and developed slowly on June 23 when the spot group was numbered by SWPC.
New AR 14120 [N06E05] emerged on June 22 and was numbered by SWPC the next day.
New AR 14121 [S12E27] emerged on June 22 and received its NOAA number the following day. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 05:26 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S11165 [N14W66] was quiet and stable.
S11173 [N14W29] was quiet and stable.
S11182 [S12W05] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region S11186 [S19E03] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S11187 [N20E48] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S11188 [N15E83] rotated into view with tiny spots. C1 flares: C1.3 @ 02:17, C1.2 @ 10:42, C1.1 @ 11:17, C1.1 @ 11:33 UT

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C2.0 05:06 S11E22 14118 GOES18  
C3.4 05:47 N17W84 14114 GOES18  
C5.0 12:23   14114 GOES18  

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

June 21-23: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A small recurrent negative polarity trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1303) was Earth facing on June 20 and early on June 21. A large recurrent negative polarity trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1302) will rotate across the central meridian on June 22-25.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on June 24 due to effects from CH1303. Effects from CH1302 could cause unsettled to minor storm conditions from late on June 24 until June 27.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14114 2025.06.10
2025.06.11
1 2 2 N20W91 0090 HSX DHC

was AR S11150

area: 0360

location: N20W84

merged leader spot of AR 14115 into this region on 2025.06.21

14115 2025.06.11
2025.06.12
1     N21W80 0030 HSX     was AR S11151

spotless

location: N22W71

S11162 2025.06.14       N26W39          
S11165 2025.06.16   4 1 N14W66 0007   BXO  
S11166 2025.06.16       S12W44          
14117 2025.06.17
2025.06.18
11 23 11 S13W03 0200 DSI DAO

was AR S11167

location: S15W03

area: 0300

S11169 2025.06.17       S09W43            
14118 2025.06.17
2025.06.19
11 35 17 S12E08 0120 DAI DAC  

beta-delta

was AR S11170

location: S11E09

area: 0210

leader spots split off into AR S11182 on 2025.06.22

S11173 2025.06.18   2   N14W29 0003   BXO  
S11175 2025.06.19       N08W40            
S11177 2025.06.19       N13W17            
14119 2025.06.21
2025.06.23
3 5 3 S26W03 0010 BXO DRO was AR S11179

location: S25W02

area: 0020

S11181 2025.06.21       S13W18            
S11182 2025.06.22   6 2 S12W05 0100   CSO split off from AR 14118
14120 2025.06.22
2025.06.23
3 5 3 N06E04 0010 BXO BXO was AR S11183

location: N06E05

14121 2025.06.22
2025.06.23
3 11 5 S12E25 0010 BXO DRO was AR S11184

area: 0040

location: S12E27

S11186 2025.06.23   3 2 S19E03 0012   BXO    
S11187 2025.06.23   5 1 N20E48 0010   BXO    
S11188 2025.06.23   2   N15E83 0003   BXO    
Total spot count: 33 103 47  
Sunspot number: 103 223 147  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 53 134 78  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 113 123 118  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 160.8 (+1.4) (SC25 solar max) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 157.0 (-3.8) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (150.7 projected, -6.3) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (144.2 projected, -6.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.6 (135.6 projected, -8.6) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (129.2 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 162.5 163.6 140.6 (124.6 projected, -4.6) 17.62
2025.05  135.3 138.3 79.2 (119.3 projected, -5.3) 17.26
2025.06 134.3 (1)   80.5 (2A) / 105.0 (2B) / 125.5 (2C)
ISN average to date: 112.
At this level the SSN for
December 2024 will become 151.0
(114.4 projected, -4.9) (23.5)
2025.07       (110.2 projected, -4.2)  
2025.08       (105.5 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (101.2 projected, -4.3)  
2025.10       (97.3 projected, -3.9)  
2025.11       (95.0 projected, -2.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of June 23, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). Compared to the peak of SC25 solar flux has been at a low level in both May and June 2025. Taking a closer look at the 81 day (3 solar rotations) average solar flux proxy, its peak was in early September 2024 and had on May 12 decreased to less than half of the solar cycle flux range. Subtracting the 81 day average of approximately 69 at solar cycle minimum from all measurements, the SC25 range is 0 - 158.3.

All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024
, very likely making this the peak of SC25 (STAR 1K 365d peak: 236.1, STAR 2K 365d peak: 364.3, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6). The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.