Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on June 11, 2025 at 03:10 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (June 1, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (June 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (June 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (June 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (June 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels on June 10. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 379 and 467 km/sec, averaging 427 km/sec (-54 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to minor storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels all day.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 129.6 - increasing 7.8 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 188.27 (183 days ago). SC25 365d peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024. The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 7 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 7.4). Three hour interval K indices: 31222122 (planetary), 32332333 (Boulder), 52222334 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B9 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 12 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 300) and in 10 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 176) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14105 [S14W19] lost many spots, however, the largest penumbra increased its area. The region was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 01:44, C1.3 @ 19:05 UT
AR 14108 [S21W60] developed slowly and quietly.
AR 14109 [S16W06] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14110 [N04W02] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14111 [N14E53] was mostly quiet and stable.
New AR 14112 [S07E36] emerged on June 8 and was numbered by SWPC 2 days later.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S11116 [N12W55] was quiet and stable.
S11120 [N10W21] was quiet and stable.
S11145 [S15W40] developed quickly with most spots in a large magnetic delta configuration. A major flare is possible. SWPC moved AR 14107 to this region on June 10. C1 flares: C1.7 @ 22:19 UT
New region S11148 [N14E11] was observed with tiny spots in an old plage area.
New region S11149 [N11E75] rotated into view with small spots. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 04:48, C1.6 @ 16:28 UT
New region S11150 [N17E79] rotated into view with tiny spots. C1 flares: C1.9 @ 17:51 UT

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C3.5 03:14 S16W28 S11145 GOES18  
C2.2 05:34   S11145 GOES18 simultaneous flare in AR S11149
C2.4 07:56 S15W30 S11145 GOES18  
C5.5 10:52 S16W32 S11145 GOES18  
C2.0 18:49 NE limb   GOES18 simultaneous flare in AR 14105
C3.0 21:58 NE limb   GOES18  

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

June 10-11: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.
June 9: A filament eruption from just north of AR 14105 and extending well into the northeast quadrant was observed beginning early in the day and peaking near 08h UT. A partial halo CME was seen in LASCO imagery, components of the CME could reach Earth on June 12-13.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A negative polarity trans equatorial coronal hole (CH1300) rotated across the central meridian on June 8. A large recurrent positive polarity southern hemisphere coronal hole (CH1301) will be Earth facing on June 11-16.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on June 11-12 due to effects from CH1300. On June 12-13 effects from the June 9 CME could reach Earth and cause unsettled to minor storm levels.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
S11116 2025.06.01   1   N12W55 0003   AXX  
14105 2025.06.02
2025.06.03
24 50 28 S15W17 0140 EAI EKI

was AR S11119

area: 0340

location: S14W19

S11120 2025.06.02   4   N10W21 0007   BXO  
14106 2025.06.03
2025.06.04
      N13W69         was AR S11123

location: N13W65

S11128 2025.06.05       S05W48          
14107 2025.06.05
2025.06.06
8     S14W39 0060 DAI     was AR S11129

location: S19W43

spotless

SWPC location on June 9: S18W31. On June 10 SWPC moved this region to the spots of AR S11145

14109 2025.06.05
2025.06.07
3 14 5 S17W04 0010 CRO CRO was AR S11131

area: 0030

location: S16W06

14108 2025.06.06
2025.06.07
  4 2 S22W61 0020   CRO was AR S11133

location: S21W60

S11134 2025.06.06       N36W53            
S11135 2025.06.06       S14W35            
S11136 2025.06.07       N25W34            
S11138 2025.06.07       S03W03            
14111 2025.06.08
2025.06.09
2 5 3 N14E50 0140 HSX CSO was AR S11139

area: 0210

loction: N14E53

14110 2025.06.08
2025.06.09
6 18 11 N04W02 0010 CRO CRI was AR S11140

area: 0060

14112 2025.06.08 2 15 3 S08E48 0010 BXO CRO was AR S11141

area: 0025

S11142 2025.06.08       S24W18            
S11143 2025.06.08       S22E04            
S11145 2025.06.09   19 11 S14W39 0310   DKC beta-delta

this is now AR 14107 to SWPC

S11146 2025.06.09       N03W13          
S11147 2025.06.09       S27W26          
S11148 2025.06.10   3   N14E11 0007   AXX    
S11149 2025.06.10   2 1 N11E75 0020   HRX    
S11150 2025.06.10   3 2 N17E79 0015   BXO    
Total spot count: 45 138 66  
Sunspot number: 105 258 156  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 66 178 106  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 90 142 125  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 160.8 (+1.4) (SC25 solar max) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 157.0 (-3.8) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (150.7 projected, -6.3) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (144.2 projected, -6.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.6 (135.6 projected, -8.6) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (129.2 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 162.5 163.6 140.6 (124.6 projected, -4.6) 17.62
2025.05  135.3 138.3 79.2 (119.3 projected, -5.3) 17.26
2025.06 129.4 (1)   31.1 (2A) / 93.4 (2B) / 115.2 (2C) (114.4 projected, -4.9) (32.0)
2025.07       (110.2 projected, -4.2)  
2025.08       (105.5 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (101.2 projected, -4.3)  
2025.10       (97.3 projected, -3.9)  
2025.11       (95.0 projected, -2.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of May 13, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a slowly decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). The decline has become more obvious during the first half of May 2025 with solar flux on May 12 at its lowest level since April 4, 2024. The solar max phase of solar cycle 25 was considerably shorter than that of the most recent solar cycles.

All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024
, very likely making this the peak of SC25 (STAR 1K 365d peak: 236.1, STAR 2K 365d peak: 364.3, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6). The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.