Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on June 6, 2025 at 06:25 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (June 1, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (June 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (June 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (June 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (June 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels on June 5. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 503 and 692 km/sec, averaging 601 km/sec (-62 |km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to minor storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was just above background levels at the end of the day.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 127.8 - decreasing 8.4 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 day average solar flux at 1 AU was 189.16 (183 days ago). SC25 peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024 (subtracting a baseline solar flux level of 65, this is +62.6% compared to the SC24 peak and -1.7% compared to the SC23 peak). The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 12 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 11.5). Three hour interval K indices: 42232322 (planetary), 32343332 (Boulder), 54234324 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B8 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 11 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 234) and in 10 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 161) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14099 [S13W77] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 07:33 UT
AR 14100 [N09W69] decayed slowly and produced several low level C flares. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 00:25, C1.2 @ 01:29, C1.3 @ 01:34, C1.2 @ 02:22, C1.8 @ 02:41, C1.9 @ 02:47, C1.0 @ 08:43, C1.5 @ 21:29 UT
AR 14105 [S14E48] has polarity intermixing and became more active again after noon. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 10:37, C1.8 @ 14:39, C1.1 @ 21:00, C1.4 @ 21:12, C1.8 @ 21:21, C1.1 @ 23:11 UT
AR 14106 [N13W01] decayed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S11115 [S11W06] was quiet and stable.
S11116 [N12E19] was quiet and stable.
S11120 [N13E45] reemerged with tiny spots.
New region S11128 [S05E21] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S11129 [S17E25] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S11130 [S12E26] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S11131 [S16E68] rotated into view with tiny spots.

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C2.3 02:29 N15W53 14100 GOES18  
C3.0 06:04 N09W64 14100 GOES18  
C2.2 07:09   14099 GOES18  
C3.0 07:20   14099 GOES18  
C2.4 13:50 N13W62 14100 GOES18  
C8.7 15:47 S14E55 14105 GOES18  
C5.7 17:13   14105 GOES18 LDE

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

June 4-5: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.
June 3: A filament eruption in the northern hemisphere began early in the day with a positive polarity coronal hole forming after 17h UT. The associated slow moving CME may have an Earth direct component and could reach Earth on June 6-7.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A negative polarity southern hemisphere coronal hole (CH1299) was Earth facing on June 2-5.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on June 6-7 due to possible effects from CH1299 and the June 3 CME. Quiet to unsettled is likely on June 8-9.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14099 2025.05.24 4 5 2 S13W78 0100 CAO CAO

was AR S11093

location: S13W77

14100 2025.05.25
2025.05.26
14 20 10 N09W68 0180 EAI CAI

was AR S11095

location: N09W69

area: 0160

14101 2025.05.26
2025.05.27
1     N04W86 0010 AXX    

was AR S11098

location: N03W85

rotated out of view

14104 2025.05.29
2025.05.30
      N06W42        

was AR S11107

location: N08W41

S11113 2025.05.31       S12W19          
S11114 2025.05.31       N11E01            
S11115 2025.06.01   12 4 S11W06 0020   BXO  
S11116 2025.06.01   10 4 N12E19 0020   BXO  
14105 2025.06.02
2025.06.03
15 38 23 S15E49 0130 EAI EAI beta-gamma

was AR S11119

location: S14E48

area: 0250

S11120 2025.06.02   3   N13E45 0007   BXO    
S11121 2025.06.02       S09W40            
S11122 2025.06.02       S07W44            
14106 2025.06.03
2025.06.04
8 20 11 N13W01 0040 DAO DRI was AR S11123

area: 0070

S11124 2025.06.03       N19W17            
S11126 2025.06.04       S16W08          
S11127 2025.06.04       N14W42          
S11128 2025.06.05   3 1 N14W42 0006   BXO    
S11129 2025.06.05   7 3 S17E25 0020   CRO    
S11130 2025.06.05   3 2 S12E26 0008   CRO    
S11131 2025.06.05   3 1 S16E68 0005   BXO    
Total spot count: 42 124 61  
Sunspot number: 92 234 161  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 62 148 85  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 101 129 129  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 160.8 (+1.4) (SC25 solar max) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 157.0 (-3.8) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (150.7 projected, -6.3) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (144.2 projected, -6.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.6 (135.6 projected, -8.6) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (129.2 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 162.5 163.6 140.6 (124.6 projected, -4.6) 17.62
2025.05  135.3 138.3 79.2 (119.3 projected, -5.3) 16.9
2025.06 136.7 (1)   16.0 (2A) / 95.8 (2B) / 110.8 (2C) (114.4 projected, -4.9) (52.2)
2025.07       (110.2 projected, -4.2)  
2025.08       (105.5 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (101.2 projected, -4.3)  
2025.10       (97.3 projected, -3.9)  
2025.11       (95.0 projected, -2.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of May 13, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a slowly decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). The decline has become more obvious during the first half of May 2025 with solar flux on May 12 at its lowest level since April 4, 2024. The solar max phase of solar cycle 25 was considerably shorter than that of the most recent solar cycles.

All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024
, very likely making this the peak of SC25 (STAR 1K 365d peak: 236.1, STAR 2K 365d peak: 364.3, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6). The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, just 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.