Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on April 29, 2025 at 05:55 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (April 4, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (April 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (April 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (April 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (April 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels on April 28. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 384 and 455 km/sec, averaging 404 km/sec (-16 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to minor storm levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 153.6 - decreasing 28.3 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 days average solar flux at 1 AU was 194.36 (183 days ago). SC25 peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024 (subtracting a baseline solar flux level of 65, this is +62.6% compared to the SC24 peak and -1.7% compared to the SC23 peak). The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 3 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 3.4). Three hour interval K indices: 20011001 (planetary), 21122312 (Boulder), 51012001 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class C1 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 14 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 241) and in 11 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 157) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14064 [N10W81] rotated mostly out of view.
AR 14065 [S32W76] was quiet and stable.
AR 14068 [S25W27] was quiet and stable.
AR 14070 [S12W44] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14072 [S18W03] was mostly quiet and stable.
AR 14073 [N12W14] was quiet and stable.
AR 14075 [S09E07] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 12:42 UT
AR 14076 [N05E18] was quiet and stable.
AR 14077 [S17E19] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 18:02 UT
New AR 14078 [N16W46] has been observed with spots since April 19. New flux emerged on April 28 and the region was numbered by SWPC. C1 flares: C1.5 @ 07:07, C1.5 @ 07:53, C1.4 @ 10:27, C1.7 @ 17:08, C1.4 @ 20:10 UT
New AR 14079 [N07E79] rotated into view with a huge leading penumbra. An M1.7 flare was recorded at 05:13 UT on April 29. C1 flares: C1.3 @ 12:12, C1.7 @ 13:02, C1.4 @ 18:57, C1.3 @ 19:37, C1.4 @ 20:57, C1.6 @ 22:23, C1.7 @ 23:11, C1.6 @ 23:23 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S11021 [N19E26] was quiet and stable.
S11022 [N23W12] was quiet and stable.
S11025 [S11W06] reemerged with tiny spots.

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment
C2.2 06:02   14069 GOES19  
C2.1 21:45   14079 GOES19  
C3.2 21:52   14079 GOES19  
C3.9 23:55   14070 GOES19  

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

April 26-28: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A northern hemisphere negative polarity coronal hole (CH1289) will rotate across the central meridian on April 28-29.

Propagation

Long distance low and medium frequency (below 2 MHz) propagation along paths north of due west over upper middle and high latitudes is fair. Propagation on long distance northeast-southwest paths is poor.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet on April 29-30. Quiet to unsettled levels are possible on May 1-2 due to effects associated with CH1288.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14064 2025.04.15
2025.04.16
2 2   N11W86 0100 DSO AXX

was AR S10989

location: N10W81

area: 0010

14065 2025.04.16
2025.04.17
1 1 1 S31W79 0030 HSX HSX

was AR S10990

location: S32W76

area: 0060

14067 2025.04.17
2025.04.18
      S04W83          

was AR S10994

location: S03W78

14078 2025.04.19
2025.04.28
2 17 8 N16W48 0030 BXO BXO was AR S10999

location: N16W46

14068 2025.04.20
2025.04.21
2 5 3 S25W31 0010 BXO AXX was AR S11002

location: S25W27

14070 2025.04.20
2025.04.22
8 16 11 S12W42 0060 DSO DSI beta-gamma

was AR S11004

area: 0160

location: S12W44

14069 2025.04.20
2025.04.22
1     S07W72 0010 AXX     was AR S11006

location: S08W75

spotless

S11009 2025.04.21       S08W24          
14072 2025.04.22
2025.04.23
9 20 10 S19W05 0070 DAI DAI beta-gamma

was AR S11011

area: 0140

location: S18W03

S11012 2025.04.22       S14W54            
14073 2025.04.23
2025.04.24
  6 1 N11W14 0010   BXO

was AR S11015

location: N12W14

14076 2025.04.23
2025.04.25
1 7 2 N06E16 0090 HSX CSO was AR S11017

area: 0170

location: N05E18

14075 2025.04.23
2025.04.25
  6 1 S11E06 0010   BXO was AR S11018

location: S09E07

14077 2025.04.24
2025.04.25
2 9 6 S17E18 0010 HRX CRO was AR S11020

area: 0020

location: S17E19

S11021 2025.04.24   2 1 N19E26 0004   BXO  
S11022 2025.04.24   3   N23W12 0005   BXO  
S11025 2025.04.25   2   S11W06 0004   AXX    
S11026 2025.04.26       S23W15            
S11027 2025.04.26       S14E34          
14079 2025.04.28
2025.04.28
2 5 3 N08E74 0120 DSO DKC   was AR S11028

area: 1100

Total spot count: 30 101 47  
Sunspot number: 130 241 157  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 63 134 80  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 143 133 126  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2014.02 170.3
(cycle peak)
166.3 146.1 (SC24 peak) 110.5 10.70
2014.04 143.9 144.8 112.5 116.4 (SC24 solar max) 7.88
2017.09 91.3 92.3 43.6 18.2 (-1.3) 18.22
(SC24 peak)
2019.11 70.2 68.7 0.5 2.0 (-0.6)
(Solar minimum using 365d smoothing:
November 17, 2019)
4.19
2019.12 70.8 68.6 1.6 1.8 (-0.2)
(ISN 13 months smoothed
solar minimum)
3.22
2023.10  142.8 141.9 99.9 124.8 (+0.8) 8.16
2023.11 153.5 150.2 107.1 127.9 (+3.1) 12.20
2023.12 151.1 146.4 113.5 129.5 (+1.6) 9.60
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 (160.3 projected, +0.9) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 (157.7 projected, -2.6) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (153.9 projected, -3.8) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (148.4 projected, -5.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.7 (139.9 projected, -8.5) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (133.5 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 163.5 (1)   117.8 (2A) / 126.3 (2B) / 146.4 (2C)
ISN average: 139
(128.9 projected, -4.6) (18.6)
2025.05       (123.6 projected, -5.3)  
2025.06       (118.6 projected, -5.0)  
2025.07       (114.5 projected, -4.1)  
2025.08       (109.8 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (105.5 projected, -4.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of April 14, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a slowly decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024, very likely making this the solar max. SDO1K 365d peak: 236.1, SDO2K 365d peak: 364.4, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6. The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, only 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.