Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

Activity chart

Last major update issued on April 27, 2025 at 08:05 UT.

Charts (* = updated daily) Data and archive
  Solar wind (*) Solar and geomagnetic data - last month (*)
  Electron fluence (*) Archived daily reports and monthly data since 2003.01 (April 4, 2025)
Solar cycle Solar cycles 23-25 (April 1, 2025) Historical solar and geomagnetic data charts 1954-2006 (April 5, 2007)
  Cycle 24-25 progress (April 1, 2025) Noon SDO sunspot count 1K image / 4K (*)
  Solar cycles 1-24 (August 1, 2020) POES auroral activity level [October 2009 - December 2012]
  Comparison of cycles 21-25 (April 1, 2025) 3rd SSN Workshop, Tucson, 2013
  Comparison of cycles 12-14, 16, 24-25 (April 1, 2025) 4th SSN Workshop, Locarno, 2014
  Solar polar fields vs. solar cycles (April 21, 2025) Cycle 25 spots (final update December 25, 2019)
  Solar cycles 24-25 transition using 365d smoothing Research: Solar Cycle 25 Started on November 17, 2019 with 365 Days Smoothing
Calculating the Strength of Solar Cycle 25 Using 365-day Smoothing

Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels on April 26. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 403 and 509 km/sec, averaging 459 km/sec (-40 km/sec compared to the previous day). The high latitude magnetometer at Andenes recorded quiet to unsettled levels. The above 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Solar flux density measured at 20h UT on 2.8 GHz was 155.7 - decreasing 15.4 over the previous solar rotation. The 365 days average solar flux at 1 AU was 194.31 (183 days ago). SC25 peak: 195.86 on October 13, 2024 (subtracting a baseline solar flux level of 65, this is +62.6% compared to the SC24 peak and -1.7% compared to the SC23 peak). The Potsdam WDC planetary A index was 6 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 5.6). Three hour interval K indices: 11122112 (planetary), 21233322 (Boulder), 22122223 (Andenes).

The background x-ray flux is at the class B9 level (GOES 19).

At the time of counting spots (see image time), spots were observed in 20 active regions using 2K resolution (SN: 374) and in 15 active regions using 1K resolution (SN: 217) SDO/HMI images.

AR 14062 [S03W84] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14064 [N10W60] decayed further and produced a few low level C flares. C1 flares: C1.3 @ 07:42, C1.3 @ 07:54, C1.7 @ 11:20 UT
AR 14065 [S31W51] was quiet and stable.
AR 14068 [S25W02] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14069 [S08W48] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14070 [S12W17] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet.
AR 14072 [S18E23] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 10:06, C1.3 @ 10:32 UT
AR 14073 [N12E12] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.5 @ 01:19 UT
AR 14074 [S19W72] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14075 [S10E34] decayed slowly and quietly.
AR 14076 [N06E45] was quiet and stable.
AR 14077 [S16E46] decayed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC/USAF:
S10999 [N14W17] was quiet and stable.
S11010 [N18W38] was quiet and stable.
S11022 [N22E14] was quiet and stable.
S11023 [N17W57] was quiet and stable.
S11024 [N17W63] was quiet and stable.
S11025 [S10E22] was quiet and stable.
New region S11026 [S23E11] was observed with tiny spots in an old plage area.
New region S11027 [S17E57] was observed with tiny spots in an old plage area.

C2+ flares

Magnitude Peak time (UT) Location Source Recorded by Comment

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

April 24-26: No obviously Earth directed CMEs.

Coronal holes

[Coronal hole history (since October 2002)]
[Compare today's report to the situation one solar rotation ago: 28 days ago 27 days ago 26 days ago]

A very large positive polarity southern hemisphere coronal hole (CH1286) rotated across the central meridian on April 17-25. A northern hemisphere positive polarity coronal hole (CH1288) was Earth facing on April 24. A northern hemisphere negative polarity coronal hole (CH1289) will likely rotate across the central meridian on April 28-29.

Propagation

Long distance low and medium frequency (below 2 MHz) propagation along paths north of due west over upper middle and high latitudes is fair. Propagation on long distance northeast-southwest paths is poor.

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on April 27-29 due to effects from CH1286/CH1288.

Coronal holes (1) Coronal mass ejections (2) M and X class flares (3)
     

1) Effects from a coronal hole could reach Earth within the next 5 days. When the high speed stream has arrived the color changes to green.
2) Effects from a CME are likely to be observed at Earth within 96 hours.
3) There is a possibility of either M or X class flares within the next 48 hours.

Green: 0-30% probability, Yellow: 30-70% probability, Red: 70-100% probability.

Active solar regions



(Click on image for 2K resolution). 4K resolution. Compare to the previous day's image.
0.5K image

When available the active region map has a coronal hole polarity overlay where red (pink) is negative and blue is positive.

Data for all officially numbered solar regions according to the Solar Region Summary provided by NOAA/SWPC, all other regions are numbered sequentially as they emerge using the STAR spot number. Comments are my own, as is the STAR spot count (spots observed at or inside a few hours before midnight) and data for regions not numbered by SWPC or where SWPC has observed no spots. SWPC active region numbers in the table below and in the active region map above are the historic SWPC/USAF numbers. SWPC data considered to be not sufficiently precise (location, area, classification) are colored red.

Active region SWPC date numbered
STAR detected
Spot count Location at midnight Area Classification SDO / HMI 4K continuum
image with magnetic polarity overlays
Comment
SWPC/
USAF
STAR SWPC STAR Current Previous
2K 1K
14062 2025.04.14
2025.04.15
1 1   S01W85 0020 HRX AXX

was AR S10984

area: 0006

location: N03W84

14064 2025.04.15
2025.04.16
5 16 9 N12W59 0180 DSO DAO

was AR S10989

location: N10W60

area: 0230

14065 2025.04.16
2025.04.17
1 1 1 S31W54 0030 HSX HSX

was AR S10990

location: S31W51

area: 0080

14066 2025.04.17       S05W74           trailing spots of AR 14062. There was no obvious reason for SWPC's split, which would make this an interpretational mistake
14067 2025.04.17
2025.04.18
      S03W55        

was AR S10994

location: S03W52

S10999 2025.04.19   27 5 N14W17 0040   BXO  
14074 2025.04.19
2025.04.25
4 4 2 S20W72 0020 CRI CRO was AR S11000

location: S19W72

14068 2025.04.20
2025.04.21
1 11 4 S26W05 0010 AXX CRO was AR S11002

location: S25W02

area: 0020

14070 2025.04.20
2025.04.22
6 31 16 S02W14 0110 DSI EAO beta-gamma

was AR S11004

area: 0230

location: S12W17

SWPC location assumed to be a typo

14069 2025.04.20
2025.04.22
3 10 5 S09W45 0020 CSO CRO was AR S11006

location: S08W48

S11007 2025.04.21       N10W39            
S11009 2025.04.21       S09E06          
S11010 2025.04.22   2   N18W38 0003   AXX  
14072 2025.04.22
2025.04.23
4 9 4 S19E25 0050 HSX CAO was AR S11011

area: 0140

location: S18E23

S11012 2025.04.22       S14W28          
14073 2025.04.23
2025.04.24
32 16 7 N11E13 0010 BXO CRO

was AR S11015

location: N12E12

area: 0030

Obviously the SWPC spot count is way too high. Maybe a typo, maybe 3 spots was intended

14076 2025.04.23
2025.04.25
1 4 1 N05E45 0060 HSX HSX was AR S11017

area: 0200

location: N06E45

very poor area "measurement" by USAF/SWPC

14075 2025.04.23
2025.04.25
  6 1 S11E34 0010   BXO was AR S11018

location: S10E34

14077 2025.04.24
2025.04.25
4 14 6 S17E47 0020 CAO CRO was AR S11020

area: 0040

location: S16E46

S11021 2025.04.24       N18E54            
S11022 2025.04.24   8   N22E14 0010   BXO  
S11023 2025.04.25   6 4 N17W57 0012   BXO  
S11024 2025.04.25   2 1 N17W63 0004   BXO  
S11025 2025.04.25   1 1 S10E22 0003   AXX  
S11026 2025.04.26   3   S23E11 0005   BXO    
S11027 2025.04.26   2   S17E57 0003   AXX    
Total spot count: 62 174 67  
Sunspot number: 172 374 217  (total spot count + 10 * number of spotted regions)
Weighted SN: 105 214 107  (Sum of total spot count + classification weighting for each AR. Classification weighting: X=0, R=3, A/S=5, H/K=10)
Relative sunspot number (Wolf number): 189 206 174  

Monthly solar cycle data

Month Average solar flux International sunspot number
(WDC-SILSO)
Smoothed sunspot number (4) Average ap
(3)
Measured 1 AU
2014.02 170.3
(cycle peak)
166.3 146.1 (SC24 peak) 110.5 10.70
2014.04 143.9 144.8 112.5 116.4 (SC24 solar max) 7.88
2017.09 91.3 92.3 43.6 18.2 (-1.3) 18.22
(SC24 peak)
2019.11 70.2 68.7 0.5 2.0 (-0.6)
(Solar minimum using 365d smoothing:
November 17, 2019)
4.19
2019.12 70.8 68.6 1.6 1.8 (-0.2)
(ISN 13 months smoothed
solar minimum)
3.22
2023.10  142.8 141.9 99.9 124.8 (+0.8) 8.16
2023.11 153.5 150.2 107.1 127.9 (+3.1) 12.20
2023.12 151.1 146.4 113.5 129.5 (+1.6) 9.60
2024.01 164.6 159.3 126.0 131.2 (+1.7) 5.46
2024.02 172.5 168.3 123.0 136.9 (+5.7) 5.31
2024.03 154.4 152.9 103.7 141.4 (+4.5) 11.03
2024.04 161.3 162.6 137.0 144.5 (+3.1) 9.69
2024.05 187.7 191.9 172.1 149.1 (+4.6) 23.56
(SC25 peak)
2024.06 184.3 190.2 164.1 152.8 (+3.7) 10.24
2024.07 196.6 203.0 196.8 155.0 (+2.3) 7.13
2024.08  246.1
(cycle peak)
252.2 216.0  (SC25 peak) 156.8 (+1.8) 15.96
2024.09 195.7 197.8 141.1 159.4 (+1.6) 15.36
2024.10 221.0 219.6 165.8 (160.3 projected, +0.9) 18.99
2024.11 199.6 195.3 154.1 (157.7 projected, -2.6) 9.33
2024.12 197.3 191.2 154.6 (153.9 projected, -3.8) 8.42
2025.01 190.3 184.2 137.0 (148.4 projected, -5.5) 13.17
2025.02  184.2 179.7 154.7 (139.9 projected, -8.5) 14.42
2025.03 163.7 162.1 134.2 (133.5 projected, -6.4) 15.96
2025.04 164.2 (1)   109.5 (2A) / 126.4 (2B) / 149.6 (2C)
ISN average: 141
(128.9 projected, -4.6) (19.7)
2025.05       (123.6 projected, -5.3)  
2025.06       (118.6 projected, -5.0)  
2025.07       (114.5 projected, -4.1)  
2025.08       (109.8 projected, -4.7)  
2025.09       (105.5 projected, -4.3)  

1) Running average based on the daily 20:00 UTC observed solar flux value at 2800 MHz and any corrections applied to that measurement.
2A) Current impact on the monthly sunspot number based on the Boulder (NOAA/SWPC) sunspot number (accumulated daily sunspots / month days).
2B) Boulder SN current month average to date.
2C) STAR SDO 1K Wolf number 27 day average.
3) Running average based on the quicklook and definitive Potsdam WDC ap indices. Values in red are based on the definitive international GFZ Potsdam WDC ap indices.
4) Source: WDC-SILSO, Royal Observatory Of Belgium, Brussels

Solar cycles 24-25

Smoothed SF and sunspot numbers

Update on the progress of solar cycle 25 as of April 14, 2025

Sunspot activity has been on a slowly decreasing trend since September 2024 (using the average solar flux over 3 solar rotations as a proxy). All 365 days smoothed sunspot numbers peaked on October 11-12, 2024, very likely making this the solar max. SDO1K 365d peak: 236.1, SDO2K 365d peak: 364.4, NOAA SN 365d peak: 156.0, ISN 365d peak: 163.6. The 365d smoothed solar flux peaked on October 13, 2024, only 1.7% below the SC23 peak, and 62.6% above the SC24 peak.

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This report has been prepared by Jan Alvestad. It is based on the analysis of data from whichever sources are available at the time the report is prepared. All time references are to Universal Time. Comments and suggestions are always welcome.

SDO images are courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.